Planet Rugby

Preview: Wales v Australia

30th November 2012 05:25

Benn Robinson Mike Phillips Australia v Wales

Wales v Oz: Resume their rivalry

Wales will be out to avoid looking the same colour of their jerseys for a seventh straight time when they host Australia in Cardiff on Saturday.

The hosts need to return to winning ways in order to avoid a November whitewash of four defeats and to preserve their place among the world's top eight-ranked teams prior to Monday's 2015 World Cup draw in London.

If they win or draw, Wales will stay seventh.

Easier said than done as their rugby-mad supporters have discovered, seeing as they were last treated to a win way back in June when Wales beat the Barbarians.

Since then the Six Nations champs suffered a 3-0 series defeat Down Under, were shocked by Argentina and Samoa in their opening two games this month before going down to New Zealand.

But it could all have been so differently scripted a year ago, after a flamboyant Welsh side performed so well at the World Cup and then went on to win a third Six Nations Grand Slam in eight years.

Consistency has well and truly deserted Wales, a loss for whom on Saturday would represent their worst run of defeats since 2003. Indeed, the Welsh are starring down the barrel and Australia - assured of a top seeding for the World Cup draw - have their finger on the trigger.

Pride and morale will also no doubt be low in the Wales camp especially coming in a season in which many players are looking to stake their claims for places in next year's British & Irish Lions squad.

"I think the game is massively important from a Welsh perspective, in terms of confidence and building on last week," said Wales coach Warren Gatland, who will lead the Lions to Australia next year.

"From a Lions point of view, it's about some of the Welsh players putting their hands up in terms of selection. There are maybe a couple of lines going through a couple of names and they need to re-establish themselves."

Gatland, however, isn't too concerned about the ramifications regarding the upcoming World Cup draw.

"If anyone is looking at us, when it comes around to 2015 and having had the preparation time together, I don't think any team particularly fancies getting Wales in their group," he said.

"We were in a really tough group last time. It is luck of the draw."

The Wallabies, meanwhile, have silenced their critics (albeit temporarily) following their opening match on tour in Paris, and have rebounded well heading into ths clash. They squeezed past Italy 22-19, having held on to beat England 20-14 the previous Saturday and will be confident of ending their trip to Europe on a high note.

After a turbulent season of mixed results and innumerable injuries, the Wallabies not only need to beat Wales for a fourth time this year, but do it with style to keep coach Robbie Deans' small army of doubters reasonably quiet over the holiday period.

However, as coach Deans put it earlier this week: "Cornered beasts are always the most dangerous; they have nowhere else to go but straight ahead."

In a recap of team news, Deans has named David Pocock in his starting XV. The openside flanker who led Australia to the three-Test clean sweep in June has recovered from a knee injury that has ruled him since the Wallabies' opening match of the Rugby Championship against New Zealand in August.

Wales have made four changes, all in the pack, to their run-on team. Gatland notably bringing in Scott Andrews for injured tighthead prop Aaron Jarvis, while lock Ian Evans replaces Bradley Davies, who was ruled out after being felled by the now-banned Andrew Hore in Wales' 33-10 defeat by the All Blacks last weekend.

Ones to watch:

For Australia: The player making headlines this week out of Australia's camp is undoubtedly flank David Pocock, who makes his long awaited return to the Test arena. Above anyone else, the Wallabies chief pilferer could well be the real difference between the two sides. His presence also serves as a powerful motivating factor for the visitors - he's a strong leader, both through actions and words.

For Wales: Wales will be relying on Gethin Jenkins to bolster their scrum up front against the ever-improving Wallabies pack. The Toulon front-rower is a powerful scrummager and a strong ball-carrier, often enabling crucial front-foot ball through a solid hit or carry that forces the defence on their heels - handy attributes for any prop.

Head to head: The line-out tussle between Luke Charteris and Nathan Sharpe will be an interesting aerial duel with both tasked to nullify the other's influence. The vastly experienced Sharpe is never intimidated though and will be looking to end his long and distinguished career with a bang. Pocock's breakdown battle with Sam Warburton will also be a fierce contest. This match-up is a matter of the Wales skipper, who is starting to rediscover his form, doing really well if he can match the Aussie's work rate and effectiveness in the loose.

Recent results:
2012: Australia won 20-19, Sydney
2012: Australia won 25-23, Gold Goast
2012: Australia won 27-19, Brisbane
2011: Australia won 24-18, Cardiff
2011: Australia won 21-18, Auckland
2010: Australia won 25-16, Cardiff
2009: Australia won 3012, Cardiff
2008: Wales won 21-18, Cardiff
2007: Australia won 32-20, Cardiff
2007: Australia won 31-0, Brisbane
2007: Australia won 29-23, Sydney
2006: Match drawn 29-29, Cardiff
2005: Wales won 24-22, Cardiff

Prediction: This should be another close encounter with Australia creeping ahead before another Wales revival. But alas it will once again be too little too late for the hosts. Australia by five!

The teams:

Wales: 15 Leigh Halfpenny, 14 Alex Cuthbert, 13 Jonathan Davies, 12 Jamie Roberts, 11 Liam Williams, 10 Rhys Priestland, 9 Mike Phillips, 8 Toby Faletau, 7 Sam Warburton (c), 6 Aaron Shingler, 5 Luke Charteris, 4 Ian Evans, 3 Scott Andrews, 2 Matthew Rees, 1 Gethin Jenkins.
Replacements: 16 Ken Owens, 17 Ryan Bevington, 18 Samson Lee, 19 Ryan Jones, 20 Justin Tipuric, 21 Tavis Knoyle, 22 Dan Biggar, 23 Scott Williams.

Australia: 15 Berrick Barnes, 14 Nick Cummins, 13 Adam Ashley-Cooper, 12 Ben Tapuai, 11 Drew Mitchell, 10 Kurtley Beale, 9 Nick Phipps, 8 Wycliff Palu, 7 David Pocock, 6 Scott Higginbotham, 5 Nathan Sharpe, 4 Kane Douglas, 3 Ben Alexander, 2 Tatafu Polota Nau, 1 Benn Robinson.
Replacements: 16 Stephen Moore, 17 James Slipper, 18 Sekope Kepu, 19 Dave Dennis, 20 Michael Hooper, 21 Brendan McKibbin, 22 Mike Harris, 23 Digby Ioane.

Date: Saturday, December 1
Kick-off: 14:30 GMT
Venue: Millennium Stadium
Referee: Wayne Barnes (England)
Assistant referees: Romain Poite (France), Greg Garner (England)
Television match official: Marshall Kilgore (Ireland)

Comments

Hobbithunter says...

My last ever post as this is getting tres dull, but winding up kiwis is like shooting rats in a barrel. Sensitive little darlings aren't they?

Posted 13:03 01st December 2012

Sincero says...

Wales' record against the Wallabies is embarrassing... LLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLD(in Cardiff in the rain)LLLLLLLLL.

And that's only this year....

Posted 12:10 01st December 2012

Sincero says...

'Wales will be out to avoid looking the same colour of their jerseys for a seventh straight time when they host Australia in Cardiff on Saturday.'

Can't help but feel Rhys Priestland might be fighting a losing battle on that front even before a point is scored.

Posted 12:02 01st December 2012

golden_statenba says...

Damn Hobithunter/BokAvenger/Mace

You have more alias then a 70s porn star.

Must have loads of email accounts which is dodgy enough

@Toulousain

Nah it will be a simple cut and past of what they said in their last post

I think Aussie might have the edge in this but I just hope its a good game

I hope the ABs play France next year Toulousain!!

Posted 11:51 01st December 2012

jmanngod says...

@ Hobbit - no need Dildo Baggins- those things go without saying

Posted 04:10 01st December 2012

Trinats2 says...

Dear Santa,

I have been a very good boy this year, only hurling abuse at the TV a couple of times.

Hear is my wish list

A win for Wales (to store some pride for a great rugby nation) Although looks like the have been helped by PR as they for the first time have predicted a Wallaby win !!!! and you are already wearing red!

With the Welsh win, should spell the end of the Deans "error" thank you in advance.

For the new Wallaby coach to play Hooper and Pocock together ? Is that such a dumb question ????

Cooper back at 10

And NZ to beat Poms by 30+ (McCaw to get sinbin like he should in every game)

PS forget the Cooper wish, any coach with a brain would know that anyway.

Posted 01:11 01st December 2012

hayj05 says...

@hobbithunter - I think you'll find that a lot of Kiwis are on the SH side of things when Australia are playing tests in Europe, we'll I certainly am anyway. Not that I'm devastated if they lose lol.

Oh & Piginbottom didn't knee & headbutt McCaw just over a month ago? That wasn't cheap at all. In fact I'm suprised he didn't get invited to Buckingham palace, such was the class of his act. Cleanse our nation of our sins, oh heavenly Wallabies.

______

Anyones game really, but I've got a funny feeling Wales might finally break the Wallabies drought.

Posted 00:35 01st December 2012

hobbithunter says...

ah, there you all are...

Posted 22:56 30th November 2012

Jivinjeff says...

Since when did Gethin Jenkins become "a powerful scrummager"? I've only ever heard him referred to as a solid scrummager who gets through a mountain of work. Did the T14 change that?

Posted 22:30 30th November 2012

Sirjona says...

I was about to,say that I thought we were in with a shout against the Wobblies until I caught sight that the wonderful Mr Barnes is in control. Wales will,be lucky to win the toss. The man is a clown.

Posted 20:43 30th November 2012

Toulousain says...

Good luck melkdave!! Most eyes will be on the NZ game maybe (or indeed the Clermont Toulouse game here in France), but you really have to think Wales should be able to finish the autumn with a W.

ALLEZ!!!

(...if only to hear what jonesy2 and georgesmith would have to say afterwards....hehehe....)

Posted 20:02 30th November 2012

fattysock says...

@HobbitHunter

I think we all know you are a troll, but why would us Kiwis talk about the ABs on a Wales vs Aus thread?

Or have you got some pathetic obsession?

Posted 19:36 30th November 2012

brands says...

@ hobbithunter

What u on about tard?

Posted 18:32 30th November 2012

golden_statenba says...

@hobbithunter

Probably on the England V New Zealand preview forum not to worried about what Australia and Wales are doing?

Posted 17:21 30th November 2012

ArmchairGeneral says...

Wales have needed it more in the last several games since the second test in Oz. doesn't seem to improve their performance at all. Oz on the other hand stepped up after a bashing in France and have players returning. They hate any loss and will win again unless the Welsh school boy 13 man drive goes well. Ozzies have more character and should pull through vs the "we're much better than our results" Welsh team.

Posted 17:02 30th November 2012

SMcMeel says...

Do Australia take the risk of getting Ireland/England etc AND Wales in their group? Wales +3 in the handicap is buying money!

Posted 16:47 30th November 2012

rugbylover says...

Relax, hobbithunter. The match hasn't even started yet. Keep your hair shirt dry.

Posted 16:23 30th November 2012

froggy73 says...

@makemehappy - yep I agree I was a bit quick to say Australia are back on track. Though a win away is a win. But I admit this has not been a glorious November for the Aussies, even should they beat Wales tomorrow. Strangely enough, Australia could be ranked #2 on Monday. They more look like a #4 to me atm !

Posted 15:26 30th November 2012

banjo says...

Must say that I am a bit worried about the decision to start pocock. Clearly love the guy, but this is the last game of a truly massive servant to the game, Natann Sharp, a true horse of a man, and i dont dole out that compliment lightly. I can see the Wallabys willing to give every sinew, lay down their lives to get the win for Sharpie. I am wondering is Pocock's presence might move the focus on that a bit.

Posted 13:30 30th November 2012

makemehappy says...

@froggy73 - true with your point about Wales, but are you serious about Australia. They beat a clueless England, were destroyed by France and almost embarassed by Italy!

Posted 13:12 30th November 2012

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