Planet Rugby

This weekend's predictions!

01st November 2013 10:05

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Chris Ashton: First try scorer at Twickers?

It's time to put your money where your mouth is with our resident tipster, as the November Tests kick off in Tokyo and at Twickenham.

With international and domestic action taking place across Europe over the next three days, we take a looking at where the smart rugby betting money

lies this weekend.

Let's get started.

November Tests:

England vs Australia:

England come together for the first time as a full-strength squad since the Six Nations, while Australia's top players arrive on UK shores off the back of a bruising international season.

After a tough Rugby Championship campaign, there are encouraging signs for the Wallabies following their two most recent clashes with Argentina and the All Blacks. Quade Cooper looks to be returning to something like his best form at fly-half. Israel Folau has notched seven tries already in his fledgling test-match career, and he is priced attractively to score first at 11/1 with Paddy Power.

The hosts remain narrow favourites at 8/13, but this one is set to be a tight clash - particularly as England are shorn of their most devastating scrummager in Alex Corbisiero, their chief lineout option in Geoff Parling, and their most powerful strike runner in Manu Tuilagi.

With that in mind, and allowing for the fact the Wallabies have had the benefit of playing and improving together for a number of months, a punt on the visitors at 11/8 may prove tempting.

Outwith the prolific Folau, the better value first-scorers in green and gold are Adam Ashley-Cooper at 11/1, and the sublime Will Genia at 19/1.

A home win by 1-12 points sits at 13/10, and a revitalised Chris Ashton is priced at 10/1 for the game's opening try. Perhaps more attractive than Ashton, though, is in-form full-back Mike Brown at 14/1, or even barnstorming loosehead Mako Vunipola for an outside bet, rated 25/1.

Prediction: England by 5

Other SuperBru November Test Predictions:

Japan vs New Zealand: New Zealand by 45

Aviva Premiership:

Worcester Warriors vs Bath:

The Warriors have yet to register a single domestic win this season, and there are signs that cracks are beginning to appear, with coach Dean Ryan snapping at a local reporter who dared to broach the subject of relegation.

They are rank outsiders to overcome a Bath side that have recruited very well over the summer. Many of the visitors' squad are on the fringes of the England setup, but yet to break into the test side, leaving them at full-strength for Premiership duties.

The Warriors are priced 9/4 for the win outright, but given their poor form and propensity for a slow start, a punt on Bath to lead by 8-15 points at half-time is enticing at 10/3.

The visitors are priced at 8/1 for an overall winning margin of 16-20 points, while Selesa Rokoduguni, Kyle Eastmond and Springbok Francois Louw are good value first-scorer bets 17/2, 14/1 and 16/1 respectively.

A more intriguing bet for the hosts may be a punt on Argentine number-eight and new Warriors signing Leonardo Senatore to cross the whitewash first at 25/1, or Samoan David Lemi to notch a late consolation at 11/1 last scorer.

Prediction: Bath by 18

Other SuperBru Aviva Premiership Predictions:

Sale Sharks vs Exeter Chiefs: Exeter by 10
Gloucester vs London Wasps: Wasps by 5
Leicester Tigers vs Harlequins:Tigers by 12
London Irish vs Northampton Saints: Saints by 9
Saracens vs Newcastle Falcons: Saracens by 12

RaboDirectPro12

Dragons vs Leinster:

The Dragons welcome the Pro12 champions to Rodney Parade off the back of a forty-point humbling by the Ospreys last week. With their talisman, Toby Faletau, sustaining a neck injury during that defeat, the hosts are narrow outsiders at evens, with the Irishmen priced at 4/5 for the outright win.

A home victory by 1-5 points sits at 7/2, with a more ambitious winning margin of 6-10 points listed at 5/1. It's the same price for a Leinster win by 11-20 points, which is probably the most attractive alternative winning margin flutter.

Irish international Luke Fitzgerald is given a fairly generous 14/1 to score first, with forwards Rhys Ruddock and Shane Jennings also rated at 19/1 and 22/1 respectively.

For the hosts, a punt on Welsh winger Tom Prydie to touch down first sits at 11/1, while Fijian back-row Netani Talei - cut in the same mould as Faletau - is listed at 22/1.

Prediction: Leinster by 17

Other SuperBru Pro12 Predictions:

Edinburgh vs Zebre: Edinburgh by 8
Cardiff Blues vs Treviso: Blues by 6
Connacht vs Glasgow Warriors:Glasgow by 9
Llanelli Scarlets vs Ulster:Ulster by 6
Munster vs Ospreys: Munster by 10

Top 14

Castres vs Clermont:

Undoubtedly the clash of the Top14 weekend sees a powerful Clermont outfit visit the home of the champions. Though rampant at home, Clermont have been inconsistent on the road in typical French fashion. A punt on them to take victory on Friday comes in at 15/8.

Other tempting opportunities include a Clermont winning margin of 1-5 points at 9/2, while the hosts to take the spoils by either 1-5 or 6-10 points are listed at 7/2. The visitors have started well in most of their domestic clashes this season, and they sit at evens to score the first points of the game, with a price of 5/1 to be had if those points come in the form of a try.

Prediction: Clermont by 5

Good luck!

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