One last push: Chiefs and Sharks do battle in the 2012 final
The Sharks will be out to accomplish the near impossible when they take on the Chiefs as both teams attempt to win their first Super Rugby title in Hamilton on Saturday.
After almost six months of separating the hopefuls from the disappointed, the longest season in Super Rugby history comes to an exciting conclusion this weekend, with the Final guaranteed to provide a new champion.
Whilst it's fair to say that two of the best teams in this year's tournament will battle it out for the crown, the odds are stacked heavily against the globe-trotting Sharks to pull off what will be a monumental victory.
After mixed fortunes through the first half of the season, the Sharks won six of their final seven regular season games to make the top six. But to reach the final in Hamilton, the men from Durban have had to clock up a travelling record as they criss-crossed the Indian Ocean three times after beating the Reds in Brisbane and then the Stormers in Cape Town.
Now the big question on everyone's lips is whether John Plumtree's troops can defy the odds for a third straight week and return home with the title after covering 55,000 kilometres in the air.
On the other end of the scale, the Chiefs haven't had to leave Hamilton for three weeks (the last time they played outside of New Zealand was on May 13) and once again enjoy the luxury of playing at Waikato Stadium where they will host their first home Super Rugby Final.
Despite losing their last two regular season fixtures, the Chiefs dug deep in their semi-final and ended up eliminating the most successful team in the history of Super Rugby. While the Chiefs won the New Zealand conference and finished second behind the Stormers in the overall standings they were still underdogs against the powerful Crusaders, who were playing their 14th semi-final in 17 years and who had never previously lost a play-off against a New Zealand opponent.
While the Chiefs entered last Friday's semi-final as underdogs, this week they are clear favourites when they run on for only their second final (their last final three years ago ended in an embarrassing 61-17 massacre at the hands of the Bulls).
The Sharks, meanwhile, are no strangers to finals rugby but are no better off than the Chiefs in that they've never managed to scale the last hurdle having gone down to the Blues in 1996, the Brumbies in 2001 and the Bulls in 2007.
When the Chiefs and Sharks met earlier this year in Durban, the Kiwi outfit got the better of their South African counterparts. But as the season reaches an exciting climax, there isn't a lot between the two teams.
Just eight points separate the Chiefs from the Sharks for points scored (444 to 436), the Sharks have conceded fewer points (348 to 358), both have scored 47 tries while the Chiefs have conceded 30 and the Sharks 31!
But even though the two finalists are pretty evenly matched, the Sharks will have to do what has only been achieved once in the history of Super Rugby - win a final in another country (in 2000, the Crusaders travelled to Canberra, where they beat the Brumbies 20-19).
In fact only two teams have won finals away from home - the Crusaders also did it in 1998 (against the Blues in Auckland) and in 1999 (against the Highlanders in Dunedin), while the Bulls beat the Sharks in Durban in 2007.
The Sharks' victories in Brisbane and Cape Town in the past fortnight have certainly highlighted the belief within the side. And while belief alone won't be enough to win a Super Rugby Final, it will certainly give the men from Durban a fighting chance against a Chiefs side feeling the pressure to win.
Ones to watch:
For Chiefs: It's hard to look beyond Aaron Cruden, who outplayed legendary Crusaders pivot Dan Carter in last week's semi-final thanks to his far superior game management, pinpoint goalkicking and line-breaking bursts. And we have a funny feeling there's plenty more to come from the talented 23-year-old...
For Sharks: JP Pietersen has been a key cog in the Sharks' team during recent weeks, and without a doubt their form attacking weapon. The Springbok winger was twice named Man of the Match in the last three games, and will once again be relied upon to produce the goods in the number 13 jersey.
Head to head: Check out our detailed analysis from 15-1 here!
Recent results:
2012: Chiefs won 18-12 in Durban
2011: Chiefs won 15-9 in Hamilton
2010: Chiefs won 19-18 in Durban
2009: Sharks won 22-15 in Hamilton
2008: Sharks won 47-25 in Durban
2007: Chiefs won 35-27 in Hamilton
Prediction: Whilst the Sharks have already proven their doubters wrong two weekends in succession, we think it's going to be one heck of a tough ask for the Sharks to go back and forth, and back and forth again in order to achieve three consecutive away victories. Chiefs by six!
The teams:
Chiefs: 15 Robbie Robinson, 14 Tim Nanai-Williams, 13 Andrew Horrell, 12 Sonny Bill Williams, 11 Asaeli Tikoirotuma, 10 Aaron Cruden, 9 Tawera Kerr-Barlow, 8 Kane Thompson, 7 Tanerau Latimer, 6 Liam Messam, 5 Brodie Retallick, 4 Craig Clarke (c), 3 Ben Tameifuna, 2 Mahonri Schwalger, 1 Sona Taumalolo.
Replacements: 16 Hika Elliot, 17 Ben Afeaki, 18 Michael Fitzgerald, 19 Sam Cane, 20 Brendon Leonard, 21 Jackson Willison, 22 Lelia Masaga.
Sharks: 15 Pat Lambie, 14 Louis Ludik, 13 JP Pietersen, 12 Paul Jordaan, 11 Lwazi Mvovo, 10 Frederic Michalak, 9 Charl McLeod, 8 Ryan Kankowski, 7 Marcell Coetzee, 6 Keegan Daniel (c), 5 Anton Bresler, 4 Willem Alberts, 3 Jannie du Plessis, 2 Bismarck du Plessis, 1 Tendai Mtawarira.
Replacements: 16 Craig Burden, 17 Wiehahn Herbst, 18 Steven Sykes, 19 Jean Deysel, 20 Jacques Botes, 21 Meyer Bosman, 22 Riaan Viljoen.
Date: Saturday, 4 August
Venue: Waikato Stadium, Hamilton
Kick-off: 19:35 (09:35 SA time; 07:35 GMT)
Referee: Steve Walsh
Assistant referees: Craig Joubert, Keith BrownTMO: Garratt Williamson







Comments
hellovanite says...
With the weather in hamilton tonight both teams will have to be good under the high ball. Tactical kicking could provide the point of difference. Chiefs have to much in the tank for the Sharks for me so I'm going for a home side victory by 7 to 15
Posted 07:48 04th August 2012
sukkadoits says...
@Darthbok Jannie DuP is a great tighthead scrummager and not much else. He does not do anything more than that. Taumalolo does it all. Line Breaks, tries, as well as attending to his core duties. The Springbok is half the player Taumalolo is
Posted 07:18 04th August 2012
Lucasrg says...
If there is one big advantage the Chiefs have is in the scrum half in my opinion, second to that the Chief's front row....if they can "hurt" the Bok's prime front row.
Then the lock...I think that is pretty equal, and there's gonna be a lot of handbags in the racks...but if Bresler gonna put another great physical effort the Shraks will grow more confident.
The becks are all good both sides. It will not be a 6 poimt differance, it will be a a 2 pointer win.
Anyway, I see the Chief win this....they are good all around plus the home advantage.....but if the Sharks bite off this win we should all bow to our knees.
GO SHARKS!!!
Posted 00:57 04th August 2012
quietbrit says...
Interesting preview - the focus is on the wrong part of the Field though - this will be decided by the collisions of the Packs.
If the Chiefs keep Alberts and Du Plessis quiet they will win. If they don't Expect a repeat of the last pool game vs. Crusaders rather than the Semi...
Posted 00:04 04th August 2012
KiwiLad says...
J4All, The Giants getting off the Bus? Did you not watch the Chiefs pack against the Saders last weekend?
History would point to a Chiefs Victory, And 8 points worthy of a punt.
Posted 23:55 03rd August 2012
tweedledee49 says...
Id love it for the Chiefs to win their first title but if they lose this final im glad theyre losing to the Sharks, who have been great these past few weeks and to beat all the conference leaders would be such an achievement. Go Rugby!....and Chiefs!
@darthbok, trauma-lowlow? That is the worst name I have ever seen lol Im sure you can come up with a much more clever one :)
Posted 23:55 03rd August 2012
Trinats2 says...
new_j4a:
As mentioned on previous posts Sharks by 11 !!!! Provided they don't fall off the pace in last 20 mins.
Between you and I, she was born in a neighbouring country, just like her cousin (a former Bok captain !!)
Posted 22:43 03rd August 2012
Fish_in_DC says...
C'mon Sharks... give us a win in the Finals for once! You're getting almost as bad as the Proteas! (sorry). As mentioned, so great to see 2 battle-hardened teams vying for history. I imagine the Chiefs have the psychological edge - but it's the finals and risky-play will be shunned. The difference could be a breakaway moment... take nothing for granted Chiefs supporters! ; )
Posted 21:23 03rd August 2012
Kiwikev says...
Chiefs by 12...
Posted 17:36 03rd August 2012
three6three6 says...
The Chiefs must have huge self belief after dispatching the Crusaders last weekend.... However, the Sharks have class throughout their team. As someone has already mentioned this is a really great advertisement for Super Rugby. Two very positive teams that are not afraid to play running rugby!
Posted 17:05 03rd August 2012
new_j4a says...
@Trinats, you will have noticed I hope that not a bad word has passed my lips regarding Mr Quade Cooper, the Reds, and Queensland as promised prior to the Sharks' very lucky win against that fine team. Could you please reciprocate and predict a win for the team from the land of your childrens' mother? Thanks! (and please post soon...before the odds start shrinking as Hamilton sees these giants get off the bus. My hope is Sharks by a comfortable margin....say as much as 4 points?
Posted 16:57 03rd August 2012
darthbok says...
the sharks have immense class all the way through -- virtually a springbok side with just a few exceptions - even michalak is an old international -- the chiefs are not , and the occasion will get to them
the great white shark is circling , and the the sharks have more ammo, experience, and as freddie would say `NOUS`-- the sharks to quietly put away a rampaging chief --
still looking foreward to TRAUMA-LOWLOW vs the du plessis brothers and the beast.
Posted 16:42 03rd August 2012
Carpelone says...
Sharks could have got this without all the travels.
Not that the Chiefs are rested, because their match with the Saders was pretty tough indeed, a tackle feast in the second half indeed.
How about the weather? No doubt that rainy condition will favour the Sharks.
Should be a Chiefs win, but however will be, nobody can't say that there two teams are not deserving.
Let's hope for a fair game and for a good officiating by Walsh.
Enjoy the rugby tomorrow.
Posted 14:29 03rd August 2012
makemehappy says...
Easy to call. If the Sharks don't dominate in the front 5, then this is only going one way - an easy Chiefs win
Posted 13:06 03rd August 2012
JayStarr says...
3) After you've had a breather and some oranges, come out and do what you've done all season after half time: SCORE A TRY!
4) Once you have a 7+ point lead, just play for territory. This shouldn't be too hard, because if the Chiefs are behind by a try with 20-25 minutes left, they won't kick back. Pin them back in their own half and try to force penalties or go for drop kicks.
Of course, easier said than done! And I wouldn't mind if the Chiefs win - they've been one of my favourite teams, and Aaron Cruden definitely my favourite player this year. I think the big winner here will be rugby...SUPER RUGBY!
Posted 12:05 03rd August 2012
JayStarr says...
(continued........)
1) Start with all hellfire and brimstone: hold onto the ball and make the Chiefs defend - send Beast, Jannie, Bismarck and Alberts in as cannonballs, offload to Coetzee, Kankowski and Daniel to find or create gaps with their athleticism, get it out to the backs (containing 2 fly-halves and 4 wings) when you have foward momentum... Just come at them relentlessly, from all angles and force THEM to defend (and tire them out);
2) When the Chiefs get the ball, disrupt them as much as you legally can - rush defense, hard tackles, compete at the rucks, go for the ball after every tackle - slow them down and DO NOT ALLOW THEM TO FIND THEIR RHYTHM;
Posted 12:04 03rd August 2012
JayStarr says...
(since PR seem to not be posting long posts - even though they are within the limits - I'll just cut it up...)
(Continued...)
Unfortunately I think it's inevitable that jetlag will be a massive factor for the Sharks. Just like with over-training, no amount of positive thinking will take your exhausted cells and "cure" them...
However, it's not impossible to win - if the Chiefs have a bit of final-jitters and the Sharks can get a foothold early on, anything is possible. Here's what I think the Sharks need to do if they want to win:
Posted 12:03 03rd August 2012
JayStarr says...
I hope the Sharks get something like a reverse-jetlag effect for flying back! Because with the form these two teams are in at the moment, this will be a classic if the Sharks can hang in for 80 minutes..
Posted 12:02 03rd August 2012
7ton says...
C'mon the Cheifs
However I have to say I wouldn't begrudge the Sharks if they won especially considering all the travel they have done.
Both sides deserve to be in the final and good luck to them both.
Posted 11:55 03rd August 2012
startledwombat says...
Quasimodo says:
>the bells! the bells!
Posted 11:49 03rd August 2012