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Preview: New Zealand v Ireland

21st June 2012 18:49

Richie McCaw New Zealand and Ireland 2012

Point to prove: Richie McCaw

New Zealand will be keen to show that the scare which Ireland gave them last week was just that in Saturday's final Test in Hamilton.

The All Blacks have come in for plenty of criticism after their disappointing showing in Christchurch and although they have secured the series thanks to some late heroics from Dan Carter, New Zealand's rugby supporters will expect nothing less than a convincing win from last year's World Cup winners.

The Kiwis will gain some comfort from the result of their previous Test played against Ireland in Hamilton, in 2006, when they ran out 34-23 winners.

While Ireland deserve credit for last week's performance, the hosts seldom play poorly in successive matches and several of the men in black will be looking to restore their reputations after below par performances.

None more so than captain Richie McCaw, who will be the first to admit that he came off second best in his battle with Ireland openside flanker Sean O'Brien at the breakdowns.

McCaw, who will be starting for the 100th time in his illustrious 105-Test career, has always worn the number seven jersey but moves to number eight for the first time. It will be interesting to see how he fares at the base of the scrum in a combination with Chiefs duo Liam Messam and Sam Cane on the flanks.

An area of McCaw's game which let him down last week is his ball-handling - he made four knock-ons during the second half in Christchurch.

After coming close to matching their best ever result against the All Blacks (a 10-10 draw in Dublin in 1973) Ireland coach Declan Kidney and his charges have to start from scratch again this week.

The best thing for them to do is to forget about that result and start afresh. It will not be an easy task though - but then again it has never been for any country against New Zealand on their own turf. But the Irish will have plenty to build on as there were facets of last week's game in which they actually dominated their hosts.

Ireland's effort during the first half in Christchurch, especially in the tight exchanges, caught the All Blacks by surprise and if they can repeat that effort for 80 minutes they could pull of what has been impossible in 26 previous encounters.

Their task was made more difficult when seasoned stalwarts Gordon D'Arcy and Jamie Heaslip were sidelined through injury for this Test and much is expected of their replacements, Paddy Wallace and Peter O'Mahony.

This weekend's clash will be a momentous occasion for Brian O'Driscoll, who will equal former Springbok skipper John Smit's international record of 83 Tests as captain. It's the 82nd time that O'Driscoll has led Ireland with his other appearance as a Test captain coming as skipper to the British and Irish Lions in the infamous first Test against New Zealand in 2005.

Players to watch:

For New Zealand: New All Blacks fly-half Aaron Cruden has big boots to fill after he was named as Dan Carter's replacement. Carter was in sublime form in Auckland and Christchurch and there will be plenty of pressure on Cruden replicate those displays. What will help is the fact that he is playing in front of his home crowd, who have witnessed several commanding Super Rugby performances from Cruden for the Chiefs this year.

For Ireland: Ireland inside centre Paddy Wallace has been brought straight in as Gordon D'Arcy's replacement and must play a blinder to convince his detractors (who seem to be in the majority amongst Irish supporters) that he is a player of international standard. Wallace joined the squad earlier this week and will have to hit the ground running as his direct opponent - Sonny Bill Williams - will be out to impress after a subdued performance in Christchurch.

Head-to-head: The clash between Ireland's Sean O'Brien and Sam Cane of New Zealand for supremacy at the breakdowns will be an important factor in this match. Adding spice to this duel is the presence of the supreme forager, Richie McCaw, at number eight for the All Blacks. McCaw will also want to prove that he can do damage to Ireland's cause, irrespective of the number on his back, by making his presence felt in the tight-loose.

Previous results:

2012: Ireland lost 22-19 in Christchurch
2012: Ireland lost 42-10 in Auckland
2010: Ireland lost 38-18 at Aviva Stadium
2010: Ireland lost 66-28 in New Plymouth
2008: Ireland lost 3-22 at Croke Park
2008: Ireland lost 21-11 in Wellington
2006: Ireland lost 27-17 in Auckland
2006: Ireland lost 24-23 in Hamilton
2005: Ireland lost 7-45 at Lansdowne Road
2002: Ireland lost 40-8 in Auckland
2002: Ireland lost 15-6 in Dunedin
2001: Ireland lost 29-40 at Lansdowne Road

Prediction: Although this is not the strongest All Blacks side, they will do everything to protect their proud record of never having lost a Test to Ireland. Losing D'Arcy and particularly Heaslip will be a massive blow to the visitors and don't be surprised if they come up short again. New Zealand by eight points!

Rugby Union betting odds

The teams:

New Zealand: 15 Israel Dagg, 14 Ben Smith, 13 Conrad Smith, 12 Sonny Bill Williams, 11 Hosea Gear, 10 Aaron Cruden, 9 Aaron Smith, 8 Richie McCaw (c), 7 Sam Cane, 6 Liam Messam, 5 Samuel Whitelock, 4 Luke Romano, 3 Owen Franks, 2 Andrew Hore, 1 Tony Woodcock.
Replacements: 16 Keven Mealamu, 17 Ben Franks, 18 Brodie Retallick, 19 Adam Thomson, 20 Piri Weepu, 21 Beauden Barrett, 22 Tamati Ellison.

Ireland: 15 Rob Kearney, 14 Fergus McFadden, 13 Brian O'Driscoll (c), 12 Paddy Wallace, 11 Keith Earls, 10 Jonathan Sexton, 9 Conor Murray, 8 Peter O'Mahony, 7 Sean O'Brien, 6 Kevin McLaughlin, 5 Donnacha Ryan, 4 Dan Tuohy, 3 Mike Ross, 2 Rory Best, 1 Cian Healy.
Replacements: 16 Sean Cronin, 17 Declan Fitzpatrick, 18 Donncha O'Callaghan, 19 Chris Henry, 20 Eoin Reddan, 21 Ronan O'Gara, 22 Andrew Trimble.

Date: Saturday, June 23
Kick-off: 19:35 (08:35 BST, 07:35 GMT)
Venue: Waikato Stadium, Hamilton
Weather:Rain from afternoon, heavy at night. Northwesterly wind blowing. Min 9°C, Max 16°C
Referee: Romain Poite (France)
Assistant referees: Pascal Gauzere (France), James Leckie (Australia)
Television match official: Matt Goddard (Australia)

by David Skippers

Comments

tha_mai says...

powerplay - they were 6-7 years apart in the 1st XV; and earlier on from same school was John Mitchell (though he's neve been so popular!), plus tha_mai, who never went on to any rugby fame at all! Another 1st XV connection with about 7 yrs between is Nonu and Savea (Rongotai College) if they ever make the field together.

Posted 06:12 23rd June 2012

bigb6969 says...

I wonder what tactics the Irish will use this week

this

http://www.nzherald.co.nz/all-blacks/news/video.cfm?c_id=116&gal_objectid=10814593&gallery_id=126332 or this

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-FQkwYfqDnU

or this

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XT2LnhR6mhY

Yes the IRB give Richie McCaw special treatment - the above 3 incidents so far have garnered a zero number of weeks suspension for the players involved.

if the first two are not eye gouging, then eye gouging can never be proved.

Posted 05:15 23rd June 2012

KiwiLad says...

Trinats, As NZs Maori of the year, perhaps it is seen as un PC to drop the half back sponsored by Burger King???

Hard to pick the scoreline on this one, (i was miles away last week) but can not see the Irish winning it.

Posted 03:13 23rd June 2012

powerplay says...

porridge_time

Absolutely, what Allblack wants to be known as being part of the "Team that lost"..Yes, I agree with you, there are motivations for both teams. Whose motivation is bigger?...whose execution is better? I just think that breaking a 100 + year vodoo will be greater than trying to keep it. Will it mean that the "irresistible force meets the immovable object?" in motivational terms?-who knows! But this is not factoring in the absence of key 'AB personal' and a 'wet whether game' with a 'rusty captain', a 'certain ref' and a' retiring legend'...Who knows, who knows! OR it could be another 100 years!... Like you said, the ingredients are definitely there!

@tha_mai ...thanks for that, I never knew they played together way back in 1stXV days!!

Posted 02:25 23rd June 2012

Paddy91317 says...

Heavy rain.... if ireland bring the same attitude to the breakdown and have a good kicking game i think they have an edge. If O'driscoll hits the line as hard as he did last time and sexton stays flat off 9 il be happy. The selection of wallace means everythin will be goin through BOD . Which is a bit predictable but with heavy rain predictable doesnt matter. On the other side i see the all black wingers coming inside to get the ball wit SBW running hard so back play will be very similar i suspect the AB having an edge out wide means nothin wen the ball doesnt go that far. New caps in the second row will put more pressure on the AB lineout and ross 80 min fitter will aid irelands cause. Ireland to snatch it the way AB done last week 17-15

Posted 20:45 22nd June 2012

SACanuck says...

Trinats2 - Belly Weepu is there for conducting the Haka.

Posted 15:48 22nd June 2012

ruckingkiwi says...

NZ by 14

Posted 14:41 22nd June 2012

hellovanite says...

I like Smith and Cruden together. You guys are in for a treat! Anyone who's watched the Marko's play will know what I mean.

Posted 14:31 22nd June 2012

porridge_time says...

Poweplay...

Agree with you that this Irish side based oin their efforts last week will take a huge amount of confidence and self belief into the third test. Yes if they win the will be making history, but don't underestimate the fact that this All Black side will. Not want to go down in the anals of history as the first to lose to the Irish.

All the ingredients of a quality test match.

Posted 14:08 22nd June 2012

tha_mai says...

Trinats2 - weepu - no idea. Nor williams, who has fortunately gone lame. Barrett can kick.

trivia time - if Barrett gets on the field same time Conrad Smith there, bit of a milestone both went to same high school in Taranaki, both 1st XV there.

Off topic (again) hope to see online the ABC series "Sporting Nation "about Australian sport starts Sunday night.

Posted 13:47 22nd June 2012

Trinats2 says...

could a kiwi please explain why Belly Weepu is even in the squad ? back up kicker ?

Another tight one, heavy rain predicted, tough one to call.

Posted 13:17 22nd June 2012

powerplay says...

Very hard to call a game now, esp after what happened last week! NZ win? Or Ireland? I will say this, like what many have said already, the motivation for Ireland to win, might be just a little bigger than for the Abs to win. This Irish team, stands on the verge of being the greatest Ireland team ever, if they change 100+ years of history! Not to mention last hurrah of Bod and co. If there ever was a time to beat the abs....its looking out to be a very interesting game, i hope!

Posted 12:50 22nd June 2012

SACanuck says...

Many folks wishing Ireland to win, but unfortunately it does not translate onto the field. AB's will be out to prove a point this week and it will not be to lose. AB 's by 15

Posted 11:59 22nd June 2012

island says...

Romain Poite... oh dear.

Posted 11:54 22nd June 2012

peewee2 says...

Definitely not the strongest Kiwi team in recent memory but following last week's scare they should win by 12. The recent performance achieved a very close win but I predict All Black depth and pride will be evident and will prevail. From a Wallaby supporter.

Posted 10:12 22nd June 2012

bigb6969 says...

http://www.skysport.co.nz/video/rugby-union/headlines/all-blacks-the-richie-rake-61580/

Posted 10:00 22nd June 2012

whizz52 says...

AB's will win this one going away. They will know they had a poor one last week, and they never have two bad ones because they know heads will roll. ABs by 15.

Posted 09:13 22nd June 2012

sandal says...

@that_mai

Fair point. This could be BoD's and O'Gara's last game against the All Blacks. Expect that to provide plenty of motivation for all 22 players.

Posted 07:17 22nd June 2012

sandal says...

Buck up, marko. And try these odds:

1. Read, Kaino, Vito, Ali Williams, Carter, Toeava, Jane and Kahui (that's five starters and three bench warmers) all injured.

2. Mealamu back from a long injury layoff without a game under his built.

3. McCaw still not up to speed after his long injury layoff, and playing out of position.

4. Nonu being rested. Thomson being rested on the bench.

5. Neither Cowan nor Ellis playing while they blood Aaron Smith.

6. Twenty-year-old Cane being given field time with McCaw while a better and more mature Todd waits for his chance.

7. NZ don't much like Poite either.

I could go on but I imagine you're already bored. The point is, your pint is three-quarters full, not empty.

Posted 04:28 22nd June 2012

papachinzo says...

It think Ireland would have had a better chance if Romain Poite wasn't in charge...

NZ by 15.

Posted 04:01 22nd June 2012

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