Wales: Out to compound Wallabies' woes with a win in Brisbane
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Wales will fancy their chances of handing Australia their second defeat in four days after their shock defeat to Scotland on Tuesday.
These two teams have played each other twice in the last year and Australia have been triumphant on both occasions. The Wallabies beat Wales 21-18 in the bronze medal match at last year's World Cup in New Zealand and were also victorious in Shane Williams' farewell Test at the Millennium Stadium last December.
But Wales are on a high after their triumphant Grand Slam campaign and will offer sterner opposition in this three-Test series which will also serve as an appetizer for next year's British and Irish Lions tour to Australia as Wales' players are expected to make up the bulk of that side's touring squad.
Apart from their defeat in their previous Test to the Six Nations' wooden spoonists Scotland, Australia seem vulnerable as they are without the services of a couple of influential players.
Regular pivot Quade Cooper has returned to action after recovering from a serious knee injury sustained in the clash between these sides at the World Cup, but is still someway off his best form and has not been included the matchday squad for this clash.
And the home side's captain James Horwill was ruled out of the series after injuring his hamstring in a Super Rugby match.
The Aussies have also had a shake-up in their backroom staff with Tony McGahan, Andrew Blades and Nick Scrivener coming aboard. McGahan has been appointed as the team's coaching co-ordinator while Blades and Scrivener take over from former assistants Jim Williams and Phil Blake, who were axed after last year's failed World Cup campaign.
Wales are close to fielding their strongest XV for this clash. Apart from inside centre Jamie Roberts and hooker Huw Bennett this will be the same run-on side which they fielded during the latter stages of their memorable World Cup campaign.
Although Roberts was arguably their best performer at last year's global showpiece his absence will not be a massive blow as his replacement, Scott Williams, regularly plays with Wales' outside centre Jonathan Davies for the Scarlets.
Wales are also without the services of their coach Warren Gatland who is still recovering from injuries to his feet suffered in an accident at his home in New Zealand.
But caretaker coach Rob Howley is a shrewd tactician who has been with this side for a while now and will certainly have done his homework on the opposition.
It's one of the oldest clichès in the game but the forward battle will play a huge role in determining the outcome of this match.
The two packs are evenly matched and with rain predicted don't be surprised if this match is played in a similar style to the Wallabies' clash with Scotland where the tight exchanges will have a huge bearing on the result.
Players to watch:
For Australia: Although the Waratahs have been struggling in the Super Rugby competition this year their number eight Wycliff Palu has putting in some good performances. Palu's ball carrying ability and solid defence are his strengths, and if he can do well in those departments he should be a threat to the Welsh. After struggling with injuries for most of last season, he is now fully fit and has a point to prove to his critics and supporters.
For Wales: With All Blacks enforcer Jerome Kaino sidelined through injury Dan Lydiate can lay claim to the unofficial title as the world's best blindside flanker at the moment. The Six Nations player of the year brings a physical edge to Wales' game and will prove a handful with ball in hand to the home side's defenders. His combination with skipper Sam Warburton and number eight Toby Faletau is amongst the best in the business and if the Dragons flanker brings his A-game to this encounter ,the Wallabies could have a torrid day at the office.
Head to head: The battle for the loose ball is always an important one and with two of the world's leading openside flankers on display, expect this one to be amongst the highlights of this match. Adding extra spice to the duel is that the Wallabies' David Pocock and Wales' Sam Warburton will both be captaining their sides. That means that their decison-making, especially under pressure, will also be closely scrutinised.
Previous results:
2011: Australia won 24-18 at Millennium Stadium
2011: Australia won 21-18 at Eden Park, Auckland
2010: Australia won 25-16 at Millennium Stadium
2009: Australia won 33-12 at Millennium Stadium
2008: Wales won 21-18 at Millennium Stadium
2007: Australia won 32-20 at Millennium Stadium
2007: Australia won 31-0 in Brisbane
2007: Australia won 29-23 in Sydney
2006: Draw 29-29 in Sydney
Prediction: The men in gold's last defeat to Wales on Australian soil occurred 42 years ago but that statistic is set to change this weekend. Teams of the Wallabies' calibre usually strike back immediately after humiliating defeats, but even though they will come out all guns blazing... Wales should win this clash by a narrow margin. Wales by three points!
The teams:
Australia: 15 Adam Ashley-Cooper, 14 Cooper Vuna, 13 Rob Horne, 12 Pat McCabe, 11 Digby Ioane, 10 Berrick Barnes, 9 Will Genia, 8 Wycliff Palu , 7 David Pocock (c), 6 Scott Higginbotham, 5 Nathan Sharpe, 4 Rob Simmons , 3 Sekope Kepu, 2 Tatafu Polota-Nau, 1 Benn Robinson.
Replacements: 16 Stephen Moore, 17 Ben Alexander, Dave Dennis, 18 Michael Hooper, 19 Nic White, 20 Anthony Fainga'a, 21 Mike Harris.
Wales: 15 Leigh Halfpenny, 14 Alex Cuthbert, 13 Jonathan Davies, 12 Scott Williams, 11 George North, 10 Rhys Priestland, 9 Mike Phillips, 8 Toby Faletau, 7 Sam Warburton (c), 6 Dan Lydiate, 5 Luke Charteris, 4 Bradley Davies, 3 Adam Jones, 2 Ken Owens, 1 Gethin Jenkins.
Replacements: 16 Matthew Rees, 17 Paul James, 18 Alun Wyn Jones, 19 Ryan Jones, 20 Lloyd Williams, 21 James Hook, 22 Ashley Beck.
Date: Saturday, June 9
Venue: Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane
Kick-off: 20:00 (10:00 GMT)
Weather: Ninety percent chance of rain with a moderate wind blowing. Min 11°C, Max 21°C
Referee: Craig Joubert (South Africa)
Assistant referees: Keith Brown (New Zealand), Garratt Williamson (New Zealand)
TMO: Vinny Munro (New Zealand)
By David Skippers







Comments
PontySurrey says...
forward_pass says - you say the Welsh camp are talking themselves up. Perhaps you could provide a genuine quote form the Welsh camp that illustrates your claim?
Posted 13:09 08th June 2012
forward_pass says...
The Aussies will still be too strong for this Welsh side who are seriously not as good as they talk themselves up to be - champs of the 6 nations they may be, but they were exceptionally lucky against England and Ireland.
If they were playing the AB's they'd be staring at a deficit of 20-30 points, but because the Aussies are in disarray they'll only lose by 10 this weekend.
Posted 12:57 08th June 2012
ArmchairGeneral says...
If Wales lose in the rain to Oz; they can kiss their supposed secured Lions spots goodbye. Welsh fans who thinking they'll win due to forward dominance obviously don't watch trinations. Oz are used to playing the worlds best packs and come out ok. Only rain can save Wales without cryotherapy. When did Wales last have their magic potion?
Go Oz: England fans are behind you. Don't blame Deans though. He's a great coach.
Posted 12:39 08th June 2012
tha_mai says...
maybe they'll share the blame? Deans' three assistant coaches for the Wallabies are Tony McGahan coaching co-ordinator, former Wallabies prop Andrew Blades forwards coach and Nick Scrivener, former Brumbies player coaching assistant.
"Scrivener has coached in Scotland and Deans said his experience in the northern hemisphere would be valuable ahead of Australia's tests against Scotland and Wales in June."
So - maybe four heads on the block, not just RD, if they were to lose test/s v Wales?
Posted 12:38 08th June 2012
mayhem says...
FISH, do something about your hatred of the welsh, maybe forgive your missus for running off with one? Wales have every chance of winning this one, nothing delusional about it. I dread to think what sorry outfit you support with an attitude like that
Posted 12:31 08th June 2012
FISH says...
such clowns, welsh fans actually think wales can win this one, hmmm one word DELUSIONAL
Posted 11:41 08th June 2012
trinats2 says...
Tails81:
Are you free Sunday, we are short numbers for an over 35s game due to long w/e, we can drown our sorrows on the field with a few rums.
Wales Joubert by 9
Posted 11:09 08th June 2012
angrykoala says...
I can not believe the selections this idiot Deans is making. He swaps one Wallaby B side for a different Wallaby B side. I thought the All Blacks were crazy not to give him the job after Henry lost the world cup. Now it appears they dodged a bullet or more likely, they knew something Australia didn't. The sooner he goes back to provincial rugby where he belongs, the better. Bring on Ewen McKenzie. He cant come soon enough for my liking.
Posted 10:26 08th June 2012
benski says...
To me this looks like an easy win for the Welsh. The Wallabies are in all sorts of bother at the moment and don't have the depth to cover vital positions. Morale in the camp is low with the two injured fly halves getting themselves in trouble overnight (I thought Cooper was supposed to be off the booze?) and it will be raining just to add to their problems. If the Welsh pitch up for this they'll walk away with it.
Posted 09:42 08th June 2012
rugby_rockstar says...
Kicking and territory are Australia's best shot at victory. The welsh scrum WILL chew up and spit out Australia's and a penalty try is deffinatley on the cards. So Oz needs to keep wales in their half and attack their ropey lineout and unleash Adam and Digby when they get ball in the red zone.
If the let wales play in their 22 though then its goodnight Australia.
ref: craig jubert, well that might help. Oz would have preferres kaplin or lawence though, they never let teams scrummage.
Posted 09:41 08th June 2012
CymruAmByth says...
If Wales win the tight 5 battle and edge the breakdown, then it could be at least a 10 point victory
Posted 09:26 08th June 2012
Fatflanker says...
This game will be a genuine measure of where the Oz pack sits - finally something resembling our best eight lining up against the primed and belligerent 6N champs, also at close to full strength. There will be no place to hide!
Posted 09:08 08th June 2012
Tails81 says...
I live and work two streets away from Suncorp Stadium and it has just started to rain. The weather forecast predicts rain for the next four days also. Let me just say that I am officially nervous. Had it been a dry track I would feel comfortable that the boys could potentially pull off a win (only just!) but given our well known deficiencies in the wet I'm expecting a Welsh victory and an early night for me. But let's not make excuses. If we lose tomorrow night it will be because we lost to a better team who will also be playing in the same conditions.
This Welsh team truly does have a special feel to it and come the next World Cup (perhaps sooner) I expect them to be battling the All Blacks for the No 1 mantle. I still believe this Wallabies team is young enough and has the potential to turn things around and be a genuine threat come the next World Cup but unlike this young Welsh team they appear to be going backwards (for now).
I just realised that if we lose to the Welsh we would have done the reverse grand slam with loses again England, Ireland and Scotland the last time we have played them all. Not a good record to have!
Aww well win or lose I'll still support the boys although I will admit that I will be gutted, angry and my Wallabies scarf may lay in the corner in a crumpled heap until the next game :P
Posted 09:04 08th June 2012
hayj05 says...
Big call I reckon PR. Although it is pointless to argue a prediciton.
As you said yourself, Australia are good at bouncing back & they were also reasonably comfortable against Wales in their 2 recent outings that were played on neutral & then home soil for Wales.
Should be close either way but I'm thinking the Wallabies by 7.
Posted 08:56 08th June 2012
tha_mai says...
a distraction for the team with Beale and Cooper in trouble overnight, Daily Telegraph reports: "Wallaby pair's boozy night out - Beale has allegedly hit a security guard in the head with his forearm and a series of punches after the pair were evicted for disorderly behaviour. Cooper then grabbed the phone of a witness who was filming the incident, and smashed the device, it was alleged."
Both players on rehabilitation from injuries, out on the booze at 2am and wanting more . . . oh well, it'll take the focus off that loss to Scotland.
Posted 08:06 08th June 2012