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Preview: South Africa v Argentina

17th August 2012 07:02

pumas

Argentina: On the verge of history

History will be made at Newlands in Cape Town when the southern hemisphere triumvirate becomes four on Saturday as South Africa plays host to newcomers Argentina.

It's been a long wait, but finally the Pumas will break new ground when they face the Springboks in this weekend's second highly-anticipated match of the inaugural Rugby Championship.

My colleague Adam said in his Oz v NZ preview that it was fitting the trans-Tasman rivals get to kick-off this new era in world rugby. But even though it may cost me a cup of his finest tea, I tend to disagree. Whilst watching a Bledisloe Cup battle between the two sides is always a spectacle in its own right, we've seen it all before.

Not only are Argentina a breath of fresh air to the expanded competition, but there's also a mysterious quality about them and what they will bring to the party as up until now we haven't seen them in a major tournament besides the RWC.

The men in blue and white hoops may not have reached the same status as they did at the 2007 World Cup (where they finished third), but will still add a much-needed splash of colour to the tournament formerly known as the Tri-Nations.

Of course the big question on everyone's lips is whether they'll sink or swim. Odds are with the former, especially away from home, but you can bet your bottom dollar they'll give it their best shot when they open their campaign against the more fancied Springboks.

Even after a lacklustre draw with England and coach Heyneke Meyer's persistence to field an out-of-form pivot, South Africa are still overwhelming favourites to beat the Pumas.

Indeed, there were mixed reactions following the Springboks' 2-0 series victory over the touring English in June. Meyer's troops impressed in the second half in Durban and dominated proceedings in the first half of the second Test in Johannesburg.

But in all three Tests, there were moments where plans and tactics were executed poorly because of individual errors and team inconsistencies - especially when it came to the breakdown battle and kicking game.

The Boks will have to up their game if they want to firstly keep their unbeaten record against Argentina intact, and secondly, compete in the Rugby Championship with an All Black team who laid down the gauntlet with an ominous 60-0 victory over Ireland to wrap up their series.

Complacency could prove to be the biggest hazard of playing against an Argentina squad who have passion by the bucketload, and who are expected to pose a physical as well as a tactical challenge.

The Pumas play straightforward, honest rugby but can still pose the risk of taking their opponents by surprise and South Africa will need to keep a watchful eye on Argentina's back three - who have a useful turn of pace - as well as a pack famed for its scrummaging and mauling.

Ones to watch:

For South Africa: Morne Steyn has come under heavy criticism of late - not only for the Bok pivot's goal-kicking failures (he missed 12 out of 20 attempts in the Test series against England), but also his all-round play. However, listening to Heyneke Meyer at a media gathering earlier this week, the new Bok boss' confidence in his number ten remains high and he is optimistic that the break Steyn had after the Bulls' Super Rugby exit (his first in three seasons) will rejuvenate him. Also keep an eye on number eight Keegan Daniel who gets a first start in the green and gold due to a tournament-ending injury to Pierre Spies. Some believe Spies's injury is a blessing in disguise as it now gives the less physically imposing Daniel a chance to show that dynamite comes in small packages.

For Argentina: The Pumas' second most-capped forward Juan Martin Fernandez Lobbe brings an enormous wealth of experience, and was an obvious choice to take over the captaincy from a possibly retired Felipe Contepomi. The number eight is the heartbeat of this Argentina side, but it will be fascinating to see how he goes in a competition of this stature and level. A player noted for his tireless work-rate around the pitch, Lobbe is the Pumas' go-to man who is capable of matching or even going one better than his opponents in the loose forward department.

Head to head: Argentina as a country are famous for its beef, and the same goes for their rugby team's front-row who have proved to be a cut above the rest at scrum-time. The selection of three props to tackle the Springboks suggests the visitors are going to do their level best to retain a proud tradition for strong scrummaging. The Du Plessis brothers and Beast Mtwarira have combined into a solid if not spectacular front-row with enough experience and competency to gain at least parity in most situations, but face a real test of their mettle when the time comes to crouch, touch, pause and engage. It should be an intriguing battle...

Previous results:
2008: South Africa won 63-9 in Johannesburg
2007: South Africa won 37-13 in Paris (RWC)
2005: South Africa won 34-23 in Buenos Aires
2004: South Africa won 39-7 in Buenos Aires
2003: South Africa won 26-25 in Port Elizabeth
2002: South Africa won 49-29 in Springs
2000: South Africa won 37-33 in Buenos Aires
1996: South Africa won 44-21 in Buenos Aires
1996: South Africa won 46-15 in Buenos Aires
1994: South Africa won 46-26 in Johannesburg
1994: South Africa won 42-22 in Port Elizabeth
1993: South Africa won 52-23 in Buenos Aires

Prediction: Argentina's debut in the revamped southern hemisphere tournament on Saturday is already a winning result in itself. Arguably everyone besides South Africans would love to see the South Americans pick up an upset win in their first outing, but we just don't see it happening. South Africa to play party poopers and win by nine points!

The teams:

South Africa: 15 Zane Kirchner, 14 Bryan Habana, 13 Jean de Villiers (c), 12 Frans Steyn, 11 Lwazi Mvovo, 10 Morné Steyn, 9 Francois Hougaard, 8 Keegan Daniel, 7 Willem Alberts, 6 Marcell Coetzee, 5 Andries Bekker, 4 Eben Etzebeth, 3 Jannie du Plessis, 2 Bismarck du Plessis, 1 Tendai Mtawarira.
Replacements: 16 Adriaan Strauss, 17 Pat Cilliers, 18 Flip van der Merwe, 19 Jacques Potgieter, 20 Ruan Pienaar, 21 Pat Lambie, 22 JJ Engelbrecht.

Argentina: 15 Lucas González Amorosino, 14 Gonzalo Camacho, 13 Marcelo Bosch, 12 Santiago Fernández, 11 Horacio Agulla, 10 Juan Martín Hernández, 9 Nicolás Vergallo, 8 Juan Martín Fernández Lobbe (c), 7 Álvaro Galindo, 6 Julio Farías Cabello, 5 Patricio Albacete, 4 Manuel Carizza, 3 Juan Figallo, 2 Eusebio Guiñazú, 1 Rodrigo Roncero.
Replacements: 16 Bruno Postiglioni, 17 Marcos Ayerza, 18 Juan Pablo Orlandi, 19 Tomás Leonardi, 20 Leonardo Senatore, 21 Martín Landajo, 22 Martín Rodríguez.

Date: Saturday, August 18
Venue: Newlands, Cape town
Kick-off: 17:05 (15:05 GMT)
Referee: Steve Walsh (Australia)
Assistant referees: Jérôme Garces (France), John Lacey (Ireland)
TMO: Johann Meuwesen (South Africa)

Rugby Union betting odds

By Dave Morris

Comments

hayj05 says...

@bokbevok - Wrong. They won the world sevens "series" crown in 2009, not to be confused with the Rugby world cup 7's which Wales won in 2009.

But yes they did hold the RWC, Super Rugby, trinations, & 7's series all at the same time in 2009, which is still an outstanding achievement. Didn't win them all the same year though.

Posted 13:16 18th August 2012

bokbevok says...

@trinats

Trinats 2007 SA won world cup, tri nations, super rugby title and world sevens title. Last world cup should of been finalists.

Oz what have they, oh they had laws changed at scrum time because they cannot hack it up front.

Now with Arg joining comp they will next year fall behind them. You may want to get laws changed again to accommodate your light weights.

Posted 09:08 18th August 2012

Cdn_content says...

Alas 5 years too late perhaps for the pumas to make a real impact. That 2007 team had real star power, Pinochet, contepomi, etc... They'd have made it real interesting. That being said, I can't believe no on is talking about the return of Hernandez, who during that tournament was perhaps one of the best players in the world. If I were the pumas, kirchner would get a steady diet of high balls and mornye of big runners. Should be fun!

Posted 08:31 18th August 2012

carpelone says...

Trinats

SA won the RWC, beat the Lions, had an almost Grand Slam in the 2009 3N. Then the laws changed. Much more than Aus achieved.

Posted 23:24 17th August 2012

scrumpoacher says...

Trinats gives us Aussies a bad name, sorry all. Anyhoo, Argentina will be the whipping boys but not for long and they will play good rugby with some close results I hope. Bokkes by <5 for my money. Wobblies over Enzed by 10. Cheers

Posted 16:18 17th August 2012

carpelone says...

Trinats, behave!!

The wooden spoon decider will be in Rosario with Oz. You'd better check out what are the rules in case of a standing with the same level, so that you can edge them.

For tomorrow, I am quite nervous. The boks must get an early lead and stay focussed the whole match. The sooner they get a break advantage the better. Otherwise, it will be closer till the end. Go the Bokke y bienvenidos a nuestros amigos Argentinos. This must be the braai world's derby.

Posted 15:10 17th August 2012

zambokke says...

We need to keep an eye on Hernandez and Amorosino; they are both world class and can open most defences. I'm not so in awe of the ageing Argentinian pack though - they are experienced, but I doubt that they will go the distance. As we do not know them, we may be cautious at first which could be a mistake becuase of their passion, but we should be able to take it in the last 20 mins.

Its good for the Aussies (a certain one on this blog) that they can start to support a team again, now that the S15 is over. It must have been hard for them over the last few weeks!

Posted 14:49 17th August 2012

Rugby_rockstar says...

"The Boks will have to up their game if they want to firstly keep their unbeaten record against Argentina intact, and secondly, compete in the Rugby Championship with an All Black team who laid down the gauntlet with an ominous 60-0 victory over Ireland to wrap up their series."

I agree that NZ are favourites but The Springboks will test them like no other in South Africa and to say they need to up it because the Irish didn't bother turning up in their third test is flawed logic. ItalySamoa/Fji/Tonga would have beaten Ireland that night too. Are they going to beat SA in their own back yard too???

Posted 13:19 17th August 2012

Safruga203 says...

I would love it if it was a walloping welcome for the Argies in their opener but I truly don't see that happening...I see us nervously sneaking it for the opener, such a shame about all the injuries, primarily my man JP! Very very disappointing to not see the gas man giving them hell on the wing but bokke till I die either wayyyy babby.

Posted 12:38 17th August 2012

Trinats2 says...

benski:

Love your blind support for your country, but what have SA done in years ?

olepete:

Only NZ !

Posted 12:29 17th August 2012

SACanuck says...

Boks by 15

Posted 12:29 17th August 2012

olepete says...

'The Pumas play straightforward, honest rugby...' Pray tell us what the other RC teams play - is it tricky, dishonest rugby?

Posted 11:58 17th August 2012

Rugby_rockstar says...

"The Boks will have to up their game if they want to firstly keep their unbeaten record against Argentina intact, and secondly, compete in the Rugby Championship with an All Black team who laid down the gauntlet with an ominous 60-0 victory over Ireland to wrap up their series."

I agree that NZ are favourites but The Springboks will give them a hell of a game in South Africa and to say they need to up it because the Irish didn't bother turning up in their third test is flawed logic. ItalySamoa/Fji/Tonga would have beaten Ireland that night.

Posted 11:42 17th August 2012

txoxmxaxsx says...

I think people tend to overestimate the pumas front row. We've been put under pressure constantly in the last few years. Roncero is 35, Figallo's scrummaging is not that strong and Guiñazu is not even our first choice hooker. We used to have the best scum in the world in the 90's but that's history now. We are missing a strong ball carrier in the backs so that is a disadvantage as well. Our scrumhalf is of poor quality. Our second row will front up as Albacete is one of the best with his huge work rate. Lobbe will probably walk into any team's first XV. Hernandez at his best would probably give Carter a run for his money but his kicking abilities are still a little bit off. Gonzalez Amorosino holds the key to break a very strong South African defence. Anyway I still think the Boks will get this one by 10+. Our best chance to grab a win is against Australia in Rosario.

Posted 11:10 17th August 2012

melkdave says...

Hard not to see a S.Africa win,but i wouldnt write off the pumas yet.Thats a very solid team theve picked ,and the back 3 ozies pace..If J.M.Herandez can find his kicking boots and play 3/4 like he did in the 2007 RWC.S.Africa are going to have a very torrid time before i think just nicking a victory by 1-3. points.One thing i am sure of though is its gouing to be a very hard fought game and closer than alot of bokke would like imo

Posted 11:05 17th August 2012

RawPace says...

Have a sneaky suspicion that Argentina might put the cat amongst the pigeons in this one...

Posted 10:54 17th August 2012

benski says...

@Trinats... The battle for the wooden spoon will be on the 6th of October in the final game between Oz and the Argie Bargies, I predict Oz loosing that away battle and dropping famously from grace - winners to losers - you saw it here first!!

Posted 10:14 17th August 2012

Sharkyzulu says...

Umm.. Spies' injury isn't a blessing in disuise - just a straight blessing! Daniel is maybe not the ideal replacement given the emphasis on weavyweight forwards in this particular game. But he's earned his place.

Having the Argies in the competition is the best news for the competition in many years! Well for the ABs and Boks anyway - Aus might be contemplating 4th instead of 3rd this year;-)

Posted 09:35 17th August 2012

Trinats2 says...

Let the battle for the wodden spoon begin. I think SA with home advantage should win.

Posted 08:26 17th August 2012

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