This weekend’s predictions

Date published: September 25 2015

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It's that time of the week when we put our heads on the chopping block to bring you Planet Rugby's predictions.

The World Cup once again dominates our thinking and we hope you had a positive opening week on the rugby betting front. Did anyone pick Japan?

This weekend we have seven fixtures with Argentina and Georgia kicking things off on Friday before three pool games apiece on Saturday and Sunday.

Paddy Power has prices up for all those matches so without further ado, let's pick out the standout bets in rugby union over the next few days. Good luck.


Rugby World Cup

Argentina v Georgia

Los Pumas impressed against New Zealand and while Georgia beat Tonga, the South Americans should come out on top here by 13 or more points (4/11).

We're not expecting a free-flowing, high-scoring game though at Kingsholm so maybe the under 3.5 tries for Argentina at 11/10 is worth getting on. On top of that the total tries in the game being under 5.5 at 4/7 also looks good in what should be a physical battle in the West Country.


Italy v Canada

It's a 16 point handicap line in this Elland Road clash and we just shade Italy to beat that at 11/10. Italy to win by 11-20 points is at 12/5.

Canada struggled with Ireland's expansive game-plan last week and it will be interesting to see if Italy can follow suit. Still without Sergio Parisse, the Azzurri have also rotated their props but should have enough talent to come through this game with over 3.5 tries, which is 10/11.


South Africa v Samoa

After losing to Japan it's a touch surprising to see South Africa being so heavily backed by the bookmakers who make them 1/20 to win the game. The handicap line is 20 points and straight away we like that for Samoa, with possibly an alternative handicap of 13.5 at 13/8 worth a gamble.

Confidence must be low in the Bok camp and even with Duane Vermeulen returning, there will be doubts how the changes will affect them in terms of combinations. Again they may look to maul their way over so Adriaan Strauss for an anytime try 13/5 tempts. For Samoa we like Ken Pisi (3/1).


England v Wales

The big one comes from Twickenham as these old foes meet to possibly decide who will miss out on qualification for the knockouts. England are priced at 1/4 to win while you can get Wales at 3/1, which we feel is decent odds as many of their key players run out fresh and ready to go.

Much has been made of England's centre duo and in what could be an arm-wrestle the no try-scorer option (16/1) is tempting. Expect a tight one. We'd also advise backing Wales to score more than 13.5 points (4/5) as they could well win the breakdown battle, with Dan Biggar doing the rest.


Australia v Uruguay

The bookies have given the Wallabies a 63 point deficit if they are to beat the handicap which we think is a touch high so will be on Uruguay.

Asking a much-changed Australian side to click with little time together is a big ask from Michael Cheika but that's not to say we will not be backing them in any bets. The anytime try for Dean Mumm and Ben McCalman (both 10/11) look good but that's not the case for odds on Joe Tomane to score two or more tries (4/9). Sometimes a punter must just leave those odds alone despite the likelihood Tomane could cut loose on Sunday.


Scotland v USA

USA surely can't start as badly as they did against Samoa when they run out at Elland Road on Sunday but if you think history will repeat then the half-time handicap for Scotland to beat is nine points (5/6). On the other side of the coin, we like an alternative full-time handicap of plus 23.5 points for the Eagles, whose fly-half AJ MacGinty will chip away at any Scottish lead. We don't expect a runaway victory for Scotland.

Peter Horne is a tempting anytime try bet at 12/5 while on the other side how about Samu Manoa to cross for USA's first try. That is also 12/5.


Ireland v Romania

Immediately we are drawn to the first try-scorer prices listed for Darren Cave (14/1) and Chris Henry (16/1) as both will look to make a point.

This is a strong Irish XV that should, on paper, run away with a big victory over Romania but we saw how France struggled so the plus 40 head start on the handicap might be worth taking, particularly as Ireland might be content with the bonus-point win. It won't be a walk in the park.

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